← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Feb 15, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 45% | 2.18 |
| SV Wehen win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| SV Wehen −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Chima Okoroji · Regensburg |
| 40' | 🟨 | Sascha Mockenhaupt · SV Wehen |
| 52' | ⚽ | Erik Wekesser · Regensburg |
| 57' | 🟨 | Manuel Schäffler · SV Wehen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Arena Regensburg |
| coach days | 959.00 | 1109.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.38 | 3.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1471.63 | 1382.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.48 | 7.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| league points | 29.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 63.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.48 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.64 | -2.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.08 | 27.22 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | -1.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |