← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Feb 9, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Siebert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 38% | 2.54 |
| SV Wehen win | 34% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| SV Wehen +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Vitaly Janelt · Bochum |
| 39' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 58' | 🟨 | Tom Weilandt · Bochum |
| 71' | 🟨 | Sebastian Maier · Bochum |
| 78' | 🟨 | Tobias Schwede · SV Wehen |
| 80' | 🟨 | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| coach days | 1103.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1393.24 | 1443.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.49 | -36.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 70.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 5.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.48 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.71 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.01 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |