← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Feb 9, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Regensburg win | 19% | 5.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Bielefeld −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Cebio Soukou · Bielefeld |
| 35' | ⚽ | Jóan Edmundsson · Bielefeld |
| 64' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 65' | ⚽ | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
| 69' | 🟨 | Chima Okoroji · Regensburg |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 86' | ⚽ (og) | Marcel Correia · Bielefeld |
| 87' | ⚽ | Reinhold Yabo · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Cedric Brunner · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 9 | On target | 0 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 4 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 435.00 | 953.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 3.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1580.68 | 1483.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.40 | -1.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| league points | 38.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.47 | -1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.86 | 28.08 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | -1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |