← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Feb 9, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Storks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Greuther Furth win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Greuther Furth +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Linton Maina · Hannover |
| 25' | 🟨 | Josip Elez · Hannover |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jannes Horn · Hannover |
| 39' | 🟨 | Maximilian Sauer · Greuther Furth |
| 41' | ⚽ | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
| 55' | 🟨 | Dominik Kaiser · Hannover |
| 62' | 🟨 | Josip Elez · Hannover |
| 62' | 🟥 | Josip Elez · Hannover |
| 70' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 74' | ⚽ (og) | Waldemar Anton · Greuther Furth |
| 75' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 13 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 90' | ⚽ | Simon Stehle · Hannover |
| coach days | 373.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 4.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1497.65 | 1470.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.89 | -11.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.96 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| league points | 31.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.78 | 26.46 |
| state index | 0.85 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |