← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Feb 8, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Nurnberg win | 32% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Nurnberg +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 51' | 🟨 | Marcos Álvarez · VfL Osnabruck |
| 55' | 🟨 | Niklas Schmidt · VfL Osnabruck |
| 60' | ⚽ | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 73' | 🟨 | Tim Handwerker · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Wolze · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robin Hack · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 860.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1426.34 | 1454.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.39 | 8.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.73 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.51 |
| league points | 27.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 37.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | -1.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.45 | 25.82 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -1.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |