← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Feb 3, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 59% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 |
| Bochum win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV +0.75 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Bochum +0.75 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Cristian Gamboa · Bochum |
| 62' | 🟨 | Lukas Hinterseer · Hamburger SV |
| 65' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 68' | ⚽ | Tim Leibold · Hamburger SV |
| 73' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Hamburger SV |
| 87' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 155.00 | 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1455.72 | 1583.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.63 | -20.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.50 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 20.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 63.40 |
| rest days | 6.08 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | 1.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 29.00 | 24.42 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |