← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Feb 2, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Koslowski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 41% | 2.36 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 30% | 3.29 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Victor Pálsson · Darmstadt |
| 28' | 🟨 | Marcos Álvarez · VfL Osnabruck |
| 34' | 🟨 | David Blacha · VfL Osnabruck |
| 35' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 36' | 🟨 | Patrick Herrmann · Darmstadt |
| 40' | 🟨 | Tim Skarke · Darmstadt |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Marcos Álvarez · VfL Osnabruck |
| 58' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 64' | 🟨 | David Blacha · VfL Osnabruck |
| 64' | 🟥 | David Blacha · VfL Osnabruck |
| 77' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 16 |
| 11 | On target | 7 |
| 13 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| 83' | ⚽ | Felix Platte · Darmstadt |
| 89' | 🟨 | Nils-Jonathan Körber · VfL Osnabruck |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 366.00 | 854.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1473.65 | 1423.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.58 | 24.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 22.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 3.71 | 3.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 25.48 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |