← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Feb 2, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Thomsen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| SV Sandhausen −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Nurnberg |
| 15' | 🟨 | Michael Frey · Nurnberg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ivan Paurević · SV Sandhausen |
| 52' | ⚽ | Robin Hack · Nurnberg |
| 77' | 🟨 | Michael Frey · Nurnberg |
| 77' | 🟥 | Michael Frey · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Patrick Erras · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 93.00 | 489.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1439.56 | 1493.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.77 | 27.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.69 |
| league points | 19.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 2.71 | 3.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.20 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.24 | 27.97 |
| state index | -0.59 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.02 | -1.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |