← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Feb 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Pfeifer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Karlsruhe win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Holstein Kiel +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 26' | ⚽ | Fabian Reese · Holstein Kiel |
| 31' | ⚽ | Finn Porath · Holstein Kiel |
| 59' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 66' | 🟨 | Jae-sung Lee · Holstein Kiel |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟥 | Damian Roßbach · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 0.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1376.50 | 1495.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.35 | -13.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.68 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| league points | 20.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 2.69 | 2.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.72 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.63 | 25.93 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.63 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |