← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Feb 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gräfe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| SV Wehen win | 18% | 5.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| SV Wehen −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Stefan Aigner · SV Wehen |
| 56' | 🟨 | Felipe · Hannover |
| 77' | 🟨 | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · SV Wehen |
| 81' | 🟨 | Nicklas Shipnoski · SV Wehen |
| 82' | ⚽ | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
| 87' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ | Benedikt Röcker · SV Wehen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 92.00 | 1095.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.98 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1474.02 | 1389.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.28 | 36.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.54 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| league points | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 3.69 | 3.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.52 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -1.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.15 | 27.38 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |