← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Jan 31, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Greuther Furth win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 15' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Greuther Furth |
| 17' | 🟨 | Marco Caligiuri · Greuther Furth |
| 22' | 🟨 | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 32' | 🟨 | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 61' | 🟨 | Alexander Meyer · Regensburg |
| 66' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 66' | 🟨 | Håvard Nielsen · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 12 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Arena Regensburg |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 944.00 | 364.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1502.43 | 1479.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.02 | 29.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.66 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 29.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 2.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.98 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.05 | 26.49 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |