← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Wed, Jan 29, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 62% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 |
| Heidenheim win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −1 | 50% | 1.94 |
| VfB Stuttgart −1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Marc-Oliver Kempf · VfB Stuttgart |
| 39' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 54' | 🟨 | Atakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart |
| 59' | 🟨 | Wataru Endo · VfB Stuttgart |
| 76' | ⚽ | Nicolás González · VfB Stuttgart |
| 86' | ⚽ | Mario Gómez · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz-Arena |
| coach days | 59.00 | 4533.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1581.94 | 1555.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.26 | 13.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.92 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| league points | 31.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.78 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 26.84 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |