← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Tue, Jan 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen +0 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Erzgebirge AUE +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Stefan Aigner · SV Wehen |
| 14' | ⚽ | Paterson Chato Nguendong · SV Wehen |
| 21' | 🟨 | Sebastian Mrowca · SV Wehen |
| 36' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 39' | 🟨 | Benedikt Röcker · SV Wehen |
| 51' | 🟨 | Maximilian Dittgen · SV Wehen |
| 60' | 🟨 | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · SV Wehen |
| 68' | 🟨 | Sebastian Mrowca · SV Wehen |
| 68' | 🟥 | Sebastian Mrowca · SV Wehen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| coach days | 1091.00 | 180.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1377.98 | 1484.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.11 | 12.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 17.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.55 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | -1.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.79 | 27.62 |
| state index | -0.39 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.71 | -1.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |