← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Tue, Jan 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Greuther Furth win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Greuther Furth +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 38' | 🟨 | Viktor Gyökeres · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 43' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 86' | ⚽ | Jamie Leweling · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 361.00 | 302.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 3.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1464.86 | 1459.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.59 | 3.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| league points | 25.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.32 | 26.23 |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |