← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Tue, Jan 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Regensburg win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Hannover +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Jannes Horn · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Waldemar Anton · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marvin Bakalorz · Hannover |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 55' | 🟨 | Miiko Albornoz · Hannover |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Arena Regensburg |
| coach days | 941.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 3.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1494.48 | 1481.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.70 | -0.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| league points | 26.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.86 | 26.12 |
| state index | 0.23 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | -0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |