← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Dec 22, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| VfL Osnabruck −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · Heidenheim |
| 30' | 🟨 | Felix Agu · VfL Osnabruck |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ulrich Taffertshofer · VfL Osnabruck |
| 66' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 75' | ⚽ | Bryan Henning · VfL Osnabruck |
| 81' | 🟨 | Ulrich Taffertshofer · VfL Osnabruck |
| 81' | 🟥 | Ulrich Taffertshofer · VfL Osnabruck |
| 88' | 🟨 | Norman Theuerkauf · Heidenheim |
| 89' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 4495.00 | 812.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.07 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1547.35 | 1447.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.32 | 66.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | 1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.77 |
| league points | 27.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 26.66 | 26.11 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.36 | -1.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |