← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Dec 22, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Regensburg win | 27% | 3.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Bochum −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 32' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 42' | ⚽ | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
| 56' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 56' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 56' | 🟥 | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
| 64' | ⚽ | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 79' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 83' | ⚽ | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jordi Osei-Tutu · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 11 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 112.00 | 904.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1475.41 | 1482.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.73 | -6.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.70 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.15 | 27.31 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |