← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Dec 21, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gräfe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 42% | 2.30 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 29% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Bielefeld +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Henk Veerman · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 25' | ⚽ | Henk Veerman · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 54' | ⚽ | Viktor Gyökeres · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 60' | 🟨 | Luca Zander · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 264.00 | 385.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1437.41 | 1596.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.74 | 19.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| league points | 18.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | 1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.87 | 26.80 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |