← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Dec 21, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Siewer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Hannover win | 27% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Hannover +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Jannes Horn · Hannover |
| 13' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 31' | 🟨 | Holger Badstuber · VfB Stuttgart |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marc-Oliver Kempf · VfB Stuttgart |
| 46' | ⚽ | Nicolás González · VfB Stuttgart |
| 62' | ⚽ | Silas · VfB Stuttgart |
| 74' | ⚽ | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Castro · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 50.00 | 20.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 9.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.92 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1480.75 | 1583.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.93 | -13.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| league points | 20.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 70.80 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 4.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 18.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 2.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.42 | 26.30 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |