← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Dec 20, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 51% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| SV Wehen win | 23% | 4.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| SV Wehen −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Benedikt Röcker · SV Wehen |
| 24' | 🟨 | Sascha Mockenhaupt · SV Wehen |
| 69' | ⚽ | Törles Knöll · SV Wehen |
| 73' | 🟨 | Phillip Tietz · SV Wehen |
| 74' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 871.00 | 1052.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1397.45 | 1365.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.15 | -8.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.68 |
| league points | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.58 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.44 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.08 | 27.23 |
| state index | -0.58 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.55 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |