← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Dec 16, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Darmstadt win | 20% | 4.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart +0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Darmstadt +0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 40' | 🟨 | Santiago Ascacíbar · VfB Stuttgart |
| 45' | ⚽ | Borna Sosa · VfB Stuttgart |
| 47' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 47' | 🟨 | Silas Wamangituka · VfB Stuttgart |
| 75' | 🟨 | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui · VfB Stuttgart |
| 85' | 🟨 | Wataru Endo · VfB Stuttgart |
| 87' | 🟨 | Philipp Förster · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 10 |
| 6 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.59 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 318.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1468.25 | 1584.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.25 | -5.40 |
| eye test v1 | 1.20 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 49.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| league points | 19.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 69.00 |
| rest days | 8.29 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | 2.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.10 | 26.62 |
| state index | -0.44 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.04 | 1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |