← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Dec 14, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Storks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
| Greuther Furth win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Marco Meyerhofer · Greuther Furth |
| 19' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 26' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 29' | ⚽ | Tobias Mohr · Greuther Furth |
| 44' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 52' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Karlsruhe |
| 53' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 61' | ⚽ | Paul Jaeckel · Greuther Furth |
| 71' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 77' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Greuther Furth |
| 80' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jamie Leweling · Greuther Furth |
| 82' | 🟨 | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 89' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jamie Leweling · Greuther Furth |
| coach days | 865.00 | 316.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1417.25 | 1457.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.48 | 12.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.20 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| league points | 20.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.41 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.88 | 25.57 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.50 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |