← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Dec 13, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Hannover win | 32% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum +0 | 54% | 1.77 |
| Hannover +0 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Manuel Wintzheimer · Bochum |
| 28' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 29' | 🟨 | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 34' | 🟨 | Simon Lorenz · Bochum |
| 65' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 73' | 🟨 | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 87' | 🟨 | Julian Korb · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 24 |
| 8 | On target | 10 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 103.00 | 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 3.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1466.46 | 1489.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.99 | -10.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.90 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| league points | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 25.93 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |