← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Dec 8, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 39% | 2.49 |
| SV Wehen win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| SV Wehen +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Maximilian Dittgen · SV Wehen |
| 34' | 🟨 | Marcel Heller · Darmstadt |
| 75' | 🟥 | Victor Pálsson · Darmstadt |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| coach days | 1040.00 | 310.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1374.75 | 1469.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.34 | -7.87 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.72 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| league points | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.56 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.99 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 8.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.67 | 27.47 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.20 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |