← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Dec 8, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 39% | 2.53 |
| Dresden win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen +0 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Dresden +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Alexander Jeremejeff · Dresden |
| 18' | 🟨 | Florian Ballas · Dresden |
| 30' | ⚽ | Robin Scheu · SV Sandhausen |
| 37' | 🟨 | Besar Halimi · SV Sandhausen |
| 58' | 🟨 | René Klingenburg · Dresden |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Dresden |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Dresden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gerrit Nauber · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion |
| coach days | 7.00 | 433.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1405.47 | 1478.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.70 | 24.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.00 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| league points | 12.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -1.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.15 | 27.96 |
| state index | -0.67 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -1.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |