← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Dec 7, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 53% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 21% | 4.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE −0.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Hannover −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | John-Patrick Strauss · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 32' | ⚽ | Marvin Bakalorz · Hannover |
| 46' | 🟨 | Waldemar Anton · Hannover |
| 49' | ⚽ (og) | Marvin Bakalorz · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 57' | 🟨 | Florian Krüger · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marc Stendera · Hannover |
| 74' | 🟨 | Philipp Riese · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 75' | ⚽ | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sören Gonther · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 90' | ⚽ | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 14 | Corners | 3 |
| 24 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 36.00 | 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.40 | 1.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1481.72 | 1470.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.41 | -10.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 68.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| league points | 17.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.62 | 27.50 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |