← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Dec 6, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Karlsruhe win | 18% | 5.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Marc Lorenz · Karlsruhe |
| 37' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Karlsruhe |
| 42' | 🟨 | Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 66' | 🟨 | Marco Thiede · Karlsruhe |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jóan Edmundsson · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jóan Edmundsson · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 370.00 | 857.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1602.08 | 1411.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.08 | 18.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 65.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| league points | 32.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.83 | 28.87 |
| state index | 0.75 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | -1.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |