← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Dec 1, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 48% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Greuther Furth win | 25% | 3.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Heidenheim −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 48' | 🟨 | Robert Leipertz · Heidenheim |
| 63' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 70' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 88' | 🟨 | Tobias Mohr · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 19 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 4474.00 | 303.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1528.25 | 1449.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.29 | 16.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.97 | 27.57 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |