← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Nov 30, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 46% | 2.17 |
| Dresden win | 28% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Dresden +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Iyoha · Holstein Kiel |
| 20' | 🟨 | René Klingenburg · Dresden |
| 30' | ⚽ | Salih Özcan · Holstein Kiel |
| 47' | 🟨 | Kevin Ehlers · Dresden |
| 56' | 🟨 | Florian Ballas · Dresden |
| 79' | ⚽ | Florian Ballas · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion |
| coach days | 302.00 | 90.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1414.45 | 1509.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.34 | 31.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.00 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| league points | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 24.39 | 25.70 |
| state index | -0.59 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |