← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Nov 30, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 22% | 4.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Bochum −0.75 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Marko Mihojević · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 32' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 61' | ⚽ | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 71' | 🟨 | Danilo Soares · Bochum |
| 72' | 🟨 | Tom Baumgart · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 81' | 🟨 | Philipp Zulechner · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 85' | 🟨 | Marko Mihojević · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 85' | 🟥 | Marko Mihojević · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Louis Samson · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 90.00 | 121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1467.35 | 1483.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.64 | 12.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.40 | 67.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| league points | 14.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.80 | 28.12 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |