← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Nov 30, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 61% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.42 |
| SV Wehen win | 17% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Nurnberg −1 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.54 |
| Under | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Manuel Schäffler · SV Wehen |
| 31' | 🟨 | Sebastian Mrowca · SV Wehen |
| 48' | ⚽ | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · SV Wehen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Robin Hack · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 29.00 | 1032.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1467.33 | 1352.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.06 | -9.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| league points | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.56 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | -1.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.97 | 26.49 |
| state index | -0.93 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | -1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |