← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Nov 29, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 59% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.14 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 18% | 5.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV +0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| VfL Osnabruck +0.75 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.89 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Niklas Schmidt · VfL Osnabruck |
| 45' | ⚽ | David Blacha · VfL Osnabruck |
| 62' | 🟨 | Tim Leibold · Hamburger SV |
| 64' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Hamburger SV |
| 69' | 🟨 | Marcos Álvarez · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 6 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 789.00 | 212.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1398.99 | 1604.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.01 | 15.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.69 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 67.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.75 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.72 |
| league points | 17.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 2.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.67 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.93 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |