← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Nov 25, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Thomsen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
| Darmstadt win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ (og) | Waldemar Anton · Darmstadt |
| 14' | ⚽ | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
| 29' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 35' | 🟨 | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
| 52' | 🟨 | Tim Skarke · Darmstadt |
| 58' | 🟨 | Felipe · Hannover |
| 69' | 🟨 | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 69' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marc Stendera · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marc Stendera · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟥 | Marc Stendera |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 24.00 | 297.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1482.80 | 1470.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.41 | 1.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| league points | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 15.29 | 15.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.54 | 27.17 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |