← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Nov 24, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Gräfe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Greuther Furth win | 34% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Greuther Furth +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Michael Frey · Nurnberg |
| 69' | 🟨 | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 78' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 84' | 🟨 | Mërgim Mavraj · Greuther Furth |
| 87' | 🟨 | Oliver Sorg · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 296.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.29 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1451.27 | 1466.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.85 | -44.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.20 |
| league points | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 15.02 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 25.25 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |