← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Nov 24, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Heidenheim win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Heidenheim +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Tim Knipping · Regensburg |
| 54' | 🟨 | Niklas Dorsch · Heidenheim |
| 62' | ⚽ | Maurice Multhaup · Heidenheim |
| 74' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 85' | ⚽ | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Arena Regensburg |
| coach days | 876.00 | 4467.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1490.78 | 1542.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.23 | 3.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.60 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| league points | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.51 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.41 | 26.86 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |