← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Nov 24, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.36 |
| Karlsruhe win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| VfB Stuttgart −1 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.51 |
| Under | 37% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Nicolás González · VfB Stuttgart |
| 22' | 🟨 | Kyoung-Rok Choi · Karlsruhe |
| 60' | ⚽ | Philipp Förster · VfB Stuttgart |
| 75' | ⚽ | Orel Mangala · VfB Stuttgart |
| 87' | 🟥 | Marc-Oliver Kempf · VfB Stuttgart |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz-Arena |
| coach days | 146.00 | 845.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1582.20 | 1397.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -57.35 | 13.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.80 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| league points | 23.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 15.02 | 12.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.60 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | 2.26 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.12 | 28.97 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.17 | -1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |