← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Nov 22, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Kempkes
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| VfL Osnabruck −0.25 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Danny Blum · Bochum |
| 43' | 🟨 | Etienne Amenyido · VfL Osnabruck |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Niklas Schmidt · VfL Osnabruck |
| 53' | 🟨 | Sven Köhler · VfL Osnabruck |
| 76' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 22 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 82.00 | 782.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1471.07 | 1395.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.34 | 17.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | 0.70 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| league points | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 36.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -1.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.16 | 25.36 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | -1.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |