← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Nov 11, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 52% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 23% | 4.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Jan Hochscheidt · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 41' | 🟥 | Jan Hochscheidt · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 48' | 🟨 | Philipp Riese · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 54' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 64' | ⚽ | Anton Fink · Karlsruhe |
| 89' | 🟨 | Martin Männel · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 31 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 832.00 | 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1397.30 | 1472.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.42 | 17.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.00 | 66.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| league points | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 9.31 | 9.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.54 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.75 | 29.16 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.10 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |