← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Nov 10, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Koslowski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Hannover win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Hannover +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 49' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 51' | 🟥 | Marcel Franke · Hannover |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
| 70' | ⚽ | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 4453.00 | 9.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1529.03 | 1496.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.70 | -16.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.30 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.48 | 27.24 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.01 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |