← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Nov 10, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Nurnberg win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Bielefeld +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Jonathan Clauss · Bielefeld |
| 13' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 15' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 26' | 🟨 | Enrico Valentini · Nurnberg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcel Hartel · Bielefeld |
| 57' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 59' | ⚽ | Asger Sørensen · Nurnberg |
| 60' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 71' | 🟨 | Robin Hack · Nurnberg |
| 73' | ⚽ | Reinhold Yabo · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 9.00 | 344.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.75 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1482.94 | 1577.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.78 | 9.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.58 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 14.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.09 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 23.99 | 26.74 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.42 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |