← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Nov 9, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck +0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| VfB Stuttgart +0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Marcos Álvarez · VfL Osnabruck |
| 26' | 🟨 | Atakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart |
| 49' | 🟨 | Etienne Amenyido · VfL Osnabruck |
| 75' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Castro · VfB Stuttgart |
| 80' | 🟨 | Nicolás González · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 21 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 769.00 | 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1381.07 | 1596.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.73 | -33.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.62 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 48.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| league points | 13.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 67.60 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | 2.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 24.24 |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |