← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Nov 8, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 53% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.06 |
| Bochum win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Bochum −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 10' | ⚽ | Waldemar Sobota · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 50' | 🟨 | Danilo Soares · Bochum |
| 72' | 🟨 | Philipp Ziereis · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 85' | 🟨 | Danny Blum · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 221.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1458.15 | 1469.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.00 | 15.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| league points | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 27.56 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |