← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Nov 8, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 45% | 2.16 |
| SV Wehen win | 29% | 3.39 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| SV Wehen −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Maximilian Dittgen · SV Wehen |
| 41' | ⚽ | Alexander Jeremejeff · Dresden |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jeremias Lorch · SV Wehen |
| 58' | 🟨 | Brian Hamalainen · Dresden |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jakov Medić · SV Wehen |
| 76' | 🟨 | Patrick Ebert · Dresden |
| 85' | 🟨 | René Klingenburg · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion |
| coach days | 280.00 | 1010.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1411.15 | 1374.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -57.89 | 44.44 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 45.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| league points | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 61.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 31.00 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.57 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | -2.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.26 | 26.26 |
| state index | -1.28 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | -2.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |