← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Mon, Nov 4, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Nurnberg win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bochum −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.58 |
| Under | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Danilo Soares · Bochum |
| 40' | ⚽ | Simon Lorenz · Bochum |
| 42' | 🟨 | Lukas Mühl · Nurnberg |
| 45' | ⚽ | Manuel Wintzheimer · Bochum |
| 63' | ⚽ | Asger Sørensen · Nurnberg |
| 70' | 🟨 | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 88' | 🟨 | Miloš Pantović · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tom Weilandt · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lukas Jäger · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 64.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 3.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1455.47 | 1497.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.87 | 4.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | — |
| league points | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 10.13 | 8.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.78 | 26.59 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -1.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |