← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Nov 3, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Rohde
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.37 |
| SV Wehen win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV +1 | 52% | 1.89 |
| SV Wehen +1 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Sebastian Mrowca · SV Wehen |
| 48' | ⚽ | David Kinsombi · Hamburger SV |
| 57' | 🟥 | Stefan Aigner · SV Wehen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Törles Knöll · SV Wehen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 20 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| coach days | 1005.00 | 186.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 4.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1369.44 | 1606.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.66 | 33.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 42.00 | 68.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| league points | 9.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 31.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 8.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.62 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 2.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.58 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.34 | 24.70 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.25 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |