← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Nov 3, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kempter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 50% | 1.94 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 25% | 3.81 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.61 |
| Under | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Holstein Kiel |
| 68' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Iyoha · Holstein Kiel |
| 72' | 🟨 | Stephan Salger · Bielefeld |
| 73' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 77' | 🟨 | Salih Özcan · Holstein Kiel |
| 82' | 🟨 | Nils Seufert · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 337.00 | 63.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1570.80 | 1500.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.63 | 19.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| league points | 22.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 8.06 | 8.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 25.93 |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |