← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Nov 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Karlsruhe win | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Dimitrios Diamantakos · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 57' | 🟨 | Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 60' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Karlsruhe |
| 61' | ⚽ (pen) | Dimitrios Diamantakos · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 63' | 🟨 | Johannes Flum · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 85' | ⚽ | Marc Lorenz · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Buballa · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marvin Pourié · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 215.00 | 823.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1461.68 | 1393.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.85 | 16.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 69.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| league points | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | -1.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.86 | 28.23 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -2.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |