← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sat, Nov 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 41% | 2.42 |
| Darmstadt win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 31' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 36' | 🟨 | Seung Ho Paik · Darmstadt |
| 37' | ⚽ (og) | Immanuel Höhn · Greuther Furth |
| 47' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 72' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 79' | 🟨 | Tim Skarke · Darmstadt |
| 87' | ⚽ | Victor Pálsson · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 274.00 | 274.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1445.61 | 1485.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.54 | 11.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 27.12 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |