← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Fri, Nov 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 42% | 2.33 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 31% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Florian Heister · Regensburg |
| 29' | 🟨 | Marcel Correia · Regensburg |
| 34' | ⚽ | Jan-Marc Schneider · Regensburg |
| 43' | ⚽ | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 49' | ⚽ | Marcos Álvarez · VfL Osnabruck |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ulrich Taffertshofer · VfL Osnabruck |
| 53' | ⚽ | Chima Okoroji · Regensburg |
| 59' | 🟨 | Bashkim Ajdini · VfL Osnabruck |
| 63' | ⚽ | Moritz Heyer · VfL Osnabruck |
| 72' | ⚽ | Moritz Heyer · VfL Osnabruck |
| 80' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 9 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Arena Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Max Besuschkow · Regensburg |
| coach days | 853.00 | 761.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1494.30 | 1376.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.41 | -16.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.79 |
| league points | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.30 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.81 | 27.09 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.81 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |