← 2. Bundesliga 2019 · Sun, Oct 27, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.87 |
| Regensburg win | 25% | 3.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Regensburg −0.5 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 38' | ⚽ | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 65' | 🟨 | Sebastian Nachreiner · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jan-Marc Schneider · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 268.00 | 848.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.14 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1499.05 | 1492.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.95 | 4.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.95 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 8.83 | 8.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | -1.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.39 | 26.41 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.75 | -1.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |